Given the already overwhelming amount of quality TV worth watching, does anyone really want to dig deeper into their pockets to pay for even more of it?
We’ll
start to find out this weekend, as two premium US cable channels make
their boldest moves yet to grab new viewers and subscribers. On Aug. 8,
Cinemax premieres The Knick, starring Clive Owen as a surgeon
in 1900-era New York City, with Steven Soderburgh directing all 10
episodes. One night later, Starz unveils Outlander, about a nurse from the 20th century who time-travels back to 18th
century Scotland. The series is based on the eight novels by Diana
Gabaldon, which combine historical fiction, romance and adventure, and
have sold more than 25 million copies worldwide.
Both shows represent a radical departure from their respective networks. Cinemax is trying to shed its “Skinemax” reputation and move beyond its pulpy action series like Banshee and Strike Back, while Starz—still lagging far behind HBO and Showtime in shows with critical and commercial acclaim—has relied too heavily on “boobs and blood” series like Spartacus, Black Sails and Magic City.
While the series are generating enthusiastic reviews (The Knick in
particular), they will likely have a much tougher time drawing
audiences than they would have just a couple years ago. Because both
Starz and Cinemax are premium channels, sampling those shows means
shelling out even more money each month to do so. And for those already
on the hook for cable fees—for basic cable, HBO and Showtime—as well as
payments for Netflix, Hulu Plus and Amazon Prime, it will be hard to
justify the additional expense, particularly given that these networks
have little to offer those new audiences beyond that single show.
As
Netflix, Amazon and Hulu keep beefing up their original content, and
more and more networks begin debuting original series (welcome to the
party, WE tv!), even those of us who devote our careers to watching and
writing about TV can no longer keep up. There’s already way too much great television to watch to pay additional money for more of it.
Starz is betting against that, and is hoping to hook viewers—and hopefully, earn new subscribers—early by streaming the Outlander premiere for free. Cinemax, meanwhile, renewed The Knick
for a second season a full month before its first one premiered, in
part to assure subscribers of its long-term commitment to the show.
(Cinemax had 14.45 million US subscribers as of March, compared with
29.475 million for its sister network HBO. Starz lands almost exactly in
the middle with 22 million subscribers).
Helping both networks: their bars for success have already been set very low. Cinemax’s most-watched original series to date, Banshee, logged a mere 733,000 viewers
during its first airing, which jumped to 2.7 million when factoring in
DVR, on demand and streaming via MAX GO. Starz biggest series launch to
date was Black Sails, which totaled 3.5 million views during its January debut weekend.
But
if these new shows fail to attract more viewers or subscribers to their
networks, it will serve as a warning to other companies preparing to
roll out original content that audiences have reached their breaking
point. Microsoft saw the writing on the wall and shut down Xbox Entertainment Studios last month, while Sony is still going forward with plans to debut original shows on its PlayStation Network.
